Abstract: The global biodiversity and human development agendas for beyond 2020 are culminating in several key moments in the next few years: the UN Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) 15th Conference of Parties that will set new targets under the “Post-2020 Biodiversity Framework” in late 2020; policy and finance agreements will be discussed at the World Economic Forum in the coming years to operationalize commitments made at the Sustainable Development Summit in 2018; the Global Environment Facility (GEF) announced the 7th replenishment round of investment for member countries in June 2018, highlighting natural capital approaches for informing lending decisions; all leading up to Rio +30 in 2022, where new commitments will be made to sustainable development. These present key opportunities for information about the current state of natural capital, and predicted impacts of changes in policy, land-use and climate on human well-being to guide the global sustainable development agenda. In the years since the Millennium Assessment, there has been an explosion in both data and technological advances, enabling higher resolution modeling at broader scales. Here we highlight recent and upcoming advances in global modeling to represent where natural capital is currently contributing most to people, on land and in oceans, how future scenarios of change will impact nature’s contribution to people, and how these values of nature affect macroeconomic performance. We conclude with a vision for what continued technological advances will enable in the future.
Moderator: Steve Polasky, University of Minnesota
Featured speakers include: